Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.138588 0.157916 0.179774 0.206487 0.238475 0.275826 0.323152
2025-04-20 0.107709 0.132614 0.163784 0.206355 0.264100 0.341393 0.455697
2025-04-27 0.090509 0.117944 0.154986 0.210160 0.293024 0.417759 0.630251
2025-05-04 0.078919 0.107466 0.148382 0.213789 0.320856 0.499655 0.847353
2025-05-11 0.070848 0.100061 0.144088 0.218901 0.351149 0.594359 1.132822
2025-05-18 0.064015 0.093173 0.139000 0.221042 0.376212 0.687806 1.469179
2025-05-25 0.058334 0.087120 0.134034 0.221977 0.398800 0.784322 1.877073
2025-06-01 0.053294 0.081359 0.128544 0.220632 0.416208 0.876259 2.344610
2025-06-08 0.048748 0.075827 0.122591 0.217126 0.427938 0.959609 2.861628
2025-06-15 0.046156 0.073286 0.121546 0.223034 0.462363 1.117657 3.818615
2025-06-22 0.042624 0.068697 0.116100 0.218753 0.471312 1.208631 4.622630
2025-06-29 0.040236 0.065902 0.113675 0.220516 0.496116 1.362069 5.975681
2025-07-06 0.037519 0.062293 0.109335 0.217490 0.508244 1.484106 7.422222
2025-07-13 0.035715 0.060219 0.107823 0.220827 0.539757 1.699209 10.068920
2025-07-20 0.034251 0.058647 0.107135 0.226039 0.578958 1.976394 14.251766
2025-07-27 0.032838 0.057032 0.106151 0.230343 0.617210 2.284495 20.364357
2025-08-03 0.031656 0.055757 0.105736 0.236064 0.662735 2.675007 30.542869
2025-08-10 0.030323 0.054057 0.104181 0.238451 0.697857 3.051386 44.755623
2025-08-17 0.029009 0.052283 0.102259 0.239489 0.728821 3.444198 65.964143
2025-08-24 0.027641 0.050287 0.099615 0.238011 0.749814 3.803775 95.193009
2025-08-31 0.026240 0.048114 0.096342 0.234150 0.760033 4.106219 133.299262
2025-09-07 0.025553 0.047411 0.096485 0.240658 0.818103 4.887804 253.826542
2025-09-14 0.024292 0.045372 0.093193 0.235942 0.824031 5.231501 375.435551